Tag: Russia


  • The Uneven Human Cost of Russia’s War in Ukraine

    Open-source named-death records show a persistent regional imbalance in Russian military losses, with Tuva and Buryatia repeatedly ranking above Moscow in per-capita comparisons. This Analysis examines the recruitment and force-generation dynamics behind that disparity and explains why the map’s individual regional rates should be treated as illustrative rather than definitive.

  • Russia’s Future Military Development

    This dossier assesses how Russia’s Armed Forces may evolve from the war against Ukraine. It examines force regeneration, battlefield learning, industrial capacity and structural constraints, and outlines three force-development trajectories to 2030.

  • South Korea’s National Intelligence Service told lawmakers that Seoul made no commitment to provide military aid to Ukraine in exchange for accepting two North Korean soldiers captured in Russia’s Kursk region. Their transfer provides South Korean intelligence with direct access to personnel who served alongside Russian forces and may yield information on North Korean deployment,…

  • Russia is sustaining attacks against Kyiv using ballistic missiles and high-speed jet-powered UAVs. Ukrainian air defence is facing compressed engagement timelines while Patriot interceptor availability remains a limiting factor. The operational significance is the continued integration of high-speed UAVs into mixed strike packages designed to complicate Ukrainian air-defence response. Source: Ukrainian Air Force; AP; corroborating…

  • Russia has expanded the use of temporary state administration over European-owned corporate assets, including units linked to Nestlé, Metro AG and Auchan. Russian officials describe the measures as asymmetric retaliation for European sanctions and military support to Ukraine. The policy increases economic coercion against European firms while preserving the option of reversal if political conditions…

  • Russian forces launched a large overnight strike against Ukraine, with attacks reported against Kyiv and the surrounding region, energy infrastructure and port facilities in Izmail. Ukrainian officials reported civilian casualties and damage, while Romania and Poland scrambled military aircraft to protect their airspace during the attack. Russia said the strike targeted a communications centre in…

  • Su-30SM2 Multirole Fighter — Russian Naval Aviation

    The Su-30SM2 is the latest modernised derivative of the Su-30SM in Russian Naval Aviation, with updated avionics and electronic-warfare systems, improved radar detection range and expanded weapons capability.

  • Russia’s Force Expansion

    Russia’s latest decree raises the authorised military ceiling by 15,500 posts, continuing a series of 2026 adjustments. The measure formalises a larger force establishment but does not establish actual manning, readiness or deployment. The Analysis assesses force sustainment, future capacity and the NATO factor.

  • Revised Russian fiscal documents indicate planned defence expenditure of 17.1 trillion roubles in 2027, approximately 27% above the previously budgeted level. Welfare, education and healthcare allocations are simultaneously being reduced. The figures indicate that sustaining the war effort remains the Kremlin’s principal fiscal priority despite growing pressure on borrowing, reserves and civilian expenditure. Source: Russian…

  • Russian attacks struck multiple Ukrainian regions, including Kyiv, Dnipro, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Odesa and Chernihiv. Reporting indicates employment of high-speed jet-powered UAVs alongside the broader strike package. The technical significance lies in the higher speed and operating envelope, which can compress Ukrainian air-defence engagement timelines. Source: Ukrainian authorities and corroborating international and specialist reporting. Related Intelligence…